Investing with Insight

At Appleton, we value active engagement and interaction with financial advisors and clients. Investing with insight helps us meet client objectives. And by sharing our economic and market perspectives, we foster deeper relationships. Here’s what we’re talking about this month.

The Case for 2024 Rate Cuts: Growth Is No Reason Not to Cut

“After months of discussions about how deeply the FOMC would cut rates in 2024, nothing speaks to the rapid shift in market sentiment better than the number of questions we’ve fielded recently about why the Fed should cut rates at all this year…”

Review and Outlook

"Three major themes emerged in June that we believe will be critical over the summer and fall; solidified improvement in inflation, growing evidence of a softening economy, and renewed political risk. We will address all three..."
"In some ways the April PCE inflation report, released in late May, was the inverse of February’s; it met the consensus +0.2% mark, but by the barest possible margin..."
"April may have indeed been the cruelest month for rate sensitive investors, as a third consecutive strong CPI print sent Treasury yields soaring early in the month. The print wasn’t quite as bad as the market reaction indicated..."

Economic and Market
Commentary

"A common refrain when discussing the Federal Reserve’s ongoing fight to quell inflation is “the last mile is the hardest.” On one hand, progress so far has come faster than many had anticipated, with both headline and core inflation falling below 4% before the end of 2023. This was largely due to volatile non-core food and energy prices, however, and core goods, where supply chain normalization has allowed transitory-after-all price pressures to quickly fade..."
"After months of discussions about how deeply the FOMC would cut rates in 2024, nothing speaks to the rapid shift in market sentiment better than the number of questions we’ve fielded recently about why the Fed should cut rates at all this year..."

Quarterly Perspectives

Q2
"News cycles and market sentiment shifts have become increasingly rapid in today’s fast paced media environment. Depending on where one turns for insight (or opinion as the case may be), recommendations are likely to widely vary, if not conflict..."
Q1
"Many years in the equity markets are characterized by a prevailing theme or development, at times something dramatic such as the dot com frenzy of 1999 or the subprime mortgage meltdown of 2007 and 2008 that launched the Great Financial Crisis..."
Q4
"The recent passing of legendary investor Charlie Munger has prompted many prominent investors to publicly reflect upon his wisdom. The human element was often central to Munger’s insights concerning investment decision-making, and he was a pioneer in the field of behavioral finance."

Video Briefs

Appleton Muni Minute – May 2024

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Appleton Muni Minute – April 2024

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The Case for Adding Duration – November 2023

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